Markets today: Wall Street ticks up as falling oil prices and Treasury yields ease the pressure
U.S. stocks are ticking higher Tuesday as Wall Street continues to absorb the big swings that have shaken financial markets recently.
The S&P 500 was 0.2 per cent higher and on track for a second quiet day after months of heavy losses swiveled sharply to a rally last week, its best of the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 34 points, or 0.1 per cent, as of 12:36 p.m. Eastern time, and the Nasdaq composite was 0.8 per cent higher.
TripAdvisor jumped 10.1 per cent after reporting better results for the summer than analysts expected, while Emerson Electric sank 8 per cent after falling short of expectations.
The majority of big companies has been topping estimates so far this earnings reporting season, but another factor has been much more influential in driving the stock market’s big swings since the summer: the bond market.
Treasury yields there were easing Tuesday, with the 10-year yield edging back to 4.60 per cent from 4.66 per cent late Monday.
Earlier in the summer, a swift rise in Treasury yields sent the stock market reeling. Yields were catching up to the Federal Reserve’s main interest rate, which was above 5.25 per cent and at its highest level since 2001 in hopes of getting high inflation under control. High rates and yields hurt stock prices, slow the economy and raise the pressure on the entire financial system.
But yields eased sharply last week after investors took comments from the Federal Reserve to indicate it may finally be done with its hikes to interest rates. Inflation has been moderating since peaking in the summer of 2022, and the recent jump in Treasury yields may be acting like a substitute for more rate hikes.
Of course, Fed Chair Jerome Powell also cautioned last week that more hikes may still come if the rise in Treasury yields does not stay “persistent.”
Another Fed official, Neel Kashkari of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, told Fox News late Monday that he’s “a little nervous about declaring victory too soon.” He said he wants to see more data showing inflation is cooling.
Speeches by other Fed officials this week could prove to be the biggest movers of financial markets, with relatively few high-impact economic reports on the calendar. Depending on what Fed officials say, that could portend a quieter week for financial markets, which have had quick triggers.
“When narratives shift, the market response is often fast and ferocious, with the initial reaction providing the best returns,” said Jason Draho, head of asset allocation Americas at UBS Global Wealth Management.
Elsewhere on Wall Street, homebuilder D.R. Horton jumped 3.1 per cent after reporting better results for the latest quarter than analysts expected.
Uber Technologies rose 2.7 per cent after earlier swinging between gains and losses. It reported a bigger profit than expected, but its revenue growth was not as strong as forecast.
Shares of WeWork were not trading after the office-sharing company filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. It’s a stunning fall for the company that had promised to upend the way people went to work around the world. After earlier being valued at US$47 billion, its stock fell 98.5 per cent this year.
In the oil market, crude prices tumbled to continue their own sharp recent swings.
A barrel of benchmark U.S. crude fell 3.8 per cent to US$77.76 and is back to where it was in August, before the latest Israel-Hamas war raised worries about potential disruptions to supplies.
Brent crude, the international standard, lost 3.7 per cent, to US$82.03.
Oil prices fell as worries continue about how much fuel the world’s second-largest economy will burn. China reported its exports fell 6.4 per cent in October from a year earlier, the sixth straight monthly decline, while imports rose 3 per cent, the first such increase in over a year. The trade surplus fell to US$56.5 billion.
Stocks fell 1.6 per cent in Hong Kong and by less than 0.1 per cent in Shanghai, joining losses across much of the rest of Asia. Drops were more modest for stock indexes in Europe.